Report to: General Committee                                                      Report Date: Jan 25, 2011

 

 

SUBJECT:                         2010 Investment Performance Review

PREPARED BY:              Mark Visser, Manager of Financial Strategy & Investments x.4260

 

 

RECOMMENDATION:

 

1)      THAT the report dated January 25, 2011 entitled “2010 Investment Performance Review” be received;

 

2)      AND THAT the Town’s Investment Interest Allocation Policy be updated to reflect that the Town’s average bond market rate of return be allocated to the Town’s Trust Funds;

 

3)      AND THAT staff be authorized and directed to do all things necessary to give effect to this resolution.

 

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

Not applicable

 

FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS:

Not Applicable



PURPOSE:


 

Pursuant to Regulation 74/97 Section 8, the Municipal Act requires the Treasurer to “prepare and provide to the Council, each year or more frequently as specified by Council, an investment report”.

 

The investment report shall contain,

 

(a) a statement about the performance of the portfolio of investments of the municipality during the period covered by the report;

 

(b) a description of the estimated portion of the total investments of a municipality that are invested in its own long-term and short-term securities to the total investment of the municipality and a description of the change, if any, in that estimated proportion since the previous year’s report;

 

(c) a statement by the Treasurer as to whether or not, in his opinion, all investments were made in accordance with the investment policies and goals adopted by the municipality;

 

 (d) a record of the date of each transaction in or disposal of its own securities, including a statement of the purchase and sale price of each security;

 

(e) such other information that the Council may require or that, in the opinion of the Treasurer, should be included.

 


 

BACKGROUND:


 

For the year ending December 31, 2020, the Town of Markham’s Income Earned on Investments was $9.68 million, compared to a budget of $9.20 million, representing a $0.48 million favourable variance. 

 

The 2010 budget assumed an average general fund portfolio balance of $222.2 million to be invested at an average rate of return of 4.14%. Both the actual average portfolio balance and the average rate of return were higher than budgeted levels.  The details of these two factors will be discussed below.  

Interest Rate

 

The Prime Rate was 2.25% at the beginning of 2010.  By September, it had rose to 3.00% and remained at that level through the end of the year. 

 

In 2010, the Town’s investments had an average interest rate of 3.79%, 35 basis points below forecast.  However, through active bond trading, the Town realized $842,000 of Capital Gains, thereby increasing the actual rate of return to 4.15%; 1 point higher than the 4.14% forecasted rate.  The difference in the rate of return accounts for a favourable variance of $16,000.

Portfolio Balance

 

The budgeted average portfolio balance for 2010 was $222.2 million.  The actual average general fund portfolio balance (including cash balances) for 2010 was $233.5 million, resulting in an additional $11.3 million that was available for investment purposes.   The higher portfolio balance accounts for a favourable variance of $467,000.

 

Portfolio Composition

 

All investments made in 2010 adhered to the Town of Markham investment policy.  At December 31, 2010, 53% of the Town’s portfolio was comprised of government issued securities.  47% of the portfolio was made up of instruments issued by Schedule A Banks.  All of these levels are within the targets established in the Town’s Investment Policy.   (Exhibit 1).

 

The December 31, 2010 investment portfolio was comprised of the following instruments:  Bonds 74%, Term Deposits 17%, and Treasury Bills 9% (Exhibit 2).

 

At December 31, 2010, the Town’s portfolio balance for all funds was $343.5 million (including bank balances).    DCA investments represented $60.7 million of this amount.  The Town’s portfolio (all funds excluding DCA) of $282.8 million was broken down into the following investment terms (Exhibit 3):

                                                                                     2010                             2009

Under 1 month                                                27.3%                          29.9% 

1 month to 3 months                                         6.2%                            8.4%

3 months to 1 year                                           4.0%                            2.6% 

Over 1 year                                                     62.4%                          59.1% 

 

            Weighted average investment term          1,659.1 days                1,537.1 days

Weighted average days to maturity          1,184.9 days                1,237.4 days

 

Since December 31, 2009, the weighted average days to maturity has been relatively stable, dropping only slightly from 1,237.4 days to 1,184.9 days.  This reflects the fact that the investment strategy has not changed much since 2009.  The strategy continued to be to invest in longer term instruments to take advantage of the wide spread between short and long term rates. 

Money Market Performance

 

The Town of Markham uses the 3-month T-bill rates to gauge the performance of investments in the money market.  The average 3-month T-bill rate for 2010 was 0.46% (source: Bank of Canada).   Non-DCA Fund money market investments held by the Town of Markham in 2010 (including bank balances) had an average return of 0.96%.  Therefore, the Town’s money market investments outperformed 3-month T-Bills by 50 basis points.  See Exhibit 4 for all Money Market securities held by the Town of Markham in 2010.

Bond Market Performance

 

2010 marks the ninth year of the Town’s bond strategy.  The 2010 highlights of the program are as follows:

 

  • 15 bonds were purchased with a face value of $66.3 million
  • 6 bonds were sold with a combined face value of $23.0 million
  • $842,000 million of Capital Gains were realized

 

At December 31, 2010, the Town held 70 bonds (up from 65 in 2009) in the general fund portfolio.  The amortized value of these bonds at year-end was $195.5 million (an increase of $10.8 million over 2009).  The market value of these bonds at December 31, 2010 was $202.4 million.  This translates into $6.9 million of unrealized gains at year end.

 

In 2010, the Town continued to increase its bond holdings to take advantage of the relatively steep yield curve.  As well, at certain points during the year when bond yields temporarily dropped, the Town took advantage by selling bonds and earning $842,000 in Capital Gains.    See Appendix 5 for all 2010 bond transactions. 

 

In November, 2009, Council granted approval to establish a Capital Gains Reserve to be funded through surpluses in the Capital Gains account.  As the budget for Capital Gains is $200,000/year (incorporated into the $9.2 million budget), up to $642,000 can be transferred to the Capital Gains Reserve to offset fluctuations in returns in future years.  The exact amount of this transfer will be brought forward to Council in the Year End Results of Operations report later in the first quarter of 2010.

 

Reserve Funds and Other Interest

 

The following table outlines the interest on investments for all major Town funds and reserves.

 

 

Average Balance

Interest Earned

Average Rate

General Portfolio

$233,500,000

$9,683,000

4.15%

Reserve Funds

$113,600,000

   $937,000

0.82%

Trust Funds

    $1,716,000

     $74,000

4.31%

Powerstream Promissory Note

  $67,866,000

$3,787,000

5.58%

MEC/District Energy Loans

  $16,800,000

  $785,000

4.67%

Development Charge Reserves

  $56,800,000

  $724,000

1.27%

 

Because of the large swing in portfolio balances throughout the year (due to the timing of the collection and disbursement of taxes), there will always need to be a significant portion of the Town’s funds invested in the money market.

 

The Town’s Interest Allocation Policy (as approved by Council) stipulates that money market rates be allocated to the interest bearing reserves and bond interest be allocated to the general portfolio.  The reasons for this are 1) over the long term, bond rates generally outperform money market rates, therefore the Town is able to achieve higher rates of return in its general portfolio and thereby reducing the immediate need for tax increases; 2) bond market rates are more stable which allows for smoother budgeting; and 3) reserves and reserve funds can more easily absorb these money market rate fluctuations as the requirements for these funds are longer term in nature.

 

The average rate earned for the Development Charge Reserves is also low as the majority of investments need to be kept short term, as it is forecasted that the reserves will be depleted by 2013.

 

One minor modification to the Interest Allocation Policy that is recommended is that bond market interest be allocated to the Town’s Trust Funds.  Currently, the Interest Allocation policy states that bond market interest is to be allocated only to the Varley Trust Fund.  To be consistent, it is recommended that the other Trust Funds (totalling approximately $350,000) be allocated the same interest rate (approximately $15,000/year of interest).

 



 

OPTIONS/ DISCUSSION:


 

Outlook

 

Interest Rates increased 75 basis points in 2010.  The forecast for 2011 indicates that short term rates should continue to rise.  This will help to increase the rate of return for the town’s Reserve Funds (which are allocated money market interest per the Town’s Interest Allocation Policy).  However, it is uncertain if the increase in short term rates will have a significant impact on longer term rates. 

 

The Town’s strategy for early 2011 will be to continue selling bonds in the 2011-2014 maturity timeframe before the short term rates increase.  The yield curve out in the 8-12 years range still represents the best value and will be targeted for purchases while the yield curve remains steep.

 

Although rates have been low for a sustained period of time, the Town is still well positioned to weather the current environment.  At the beginning of 2011, the Town’s bond and long term accrual investments balance was approximately $195 million, with approximately 85% of that amount locked in until at least 2013 at attractive rates.  

 

The Investment Income budget for 2011 is $9.57 million.  This is comprised of an estimated $233.4 million general portfolio balance invested at an average rate of 4.10%.


 

FINANCIAL TEMPLATE (Separate Attachment):


Not applicable

 


ENVIRONMENTAL CONSIDERATIONS:


Not applicable

 


ACCESSIBILITY CONSIDERATIONS:


Not applicable

 


ENGAGE 21ST CONSIDERATIONS:


Not applicable

 


BUSINESS UNITS CONSULTED AND AFFECTED:


Not applicable

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

RECOMMENDED BY: 

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ATTACHMENTS:


Exhibits

Exhibit 1 – Investment Portfolio by Issuer

Exhibit 2 – Investment Portfolio by Instrument

Exhibit 3 – Investment Terms

Exhibit 4 – 2010 Money Market Investments

Exhibit 5 – 2010 Bond Market Investments

Exhibit 6 – 2010 DCA Fund Investments